Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.000098 0.000109 0.000121 0.000135 0.000151 0.000168 0.000188
2024-11-03 0.000080 0.000095 0.000112 0.000133 0.000158 0.000187 0.000222
2024-11-10 0.000069 0.000087 0.000108 0.000135 0.000169 0.000210 0.000264
2024-11-17 0.000060 0.000078 0.000102 0.000134 0.000176 0.000229 0.000302
2024-11-24 0.000053 0.000072 0.000098 0.000134 0.000184 0.000250 0.000343
2024-12-01 0.000046 0.000066 0.000093 0.000133 0.000189 0.000266 0.000381
2024-12-08 0.000041 0.000061 0.000089 0.000132 0.000194 0.000284 0.000421
2024-12-15 0.000037 0.000057 0.000086 0.000131 0.000201 0.000302 0.000464
2024-12-22 0.000034 0.000054 0.000084 0.000132 0.000207 0.000322 0.000509
2024-12-29 0.000031 0.000051 0.000081 0.000132 0.000214 0.000341 0.000556
2025-01-05 0.000028 0.000048 0.000078 0.000130 0.000217 0.000356 0.000597
2025-01-12 0.000026 0.000045 0.000076 0.000131 0.000224 0.000377 0.000649
2025-01-19 0.000024 0.000043 0.000075 0.000132 0.000232 0.000400 0.000709
2025-01-26 0.000022 0.000041 0.000072 0.000130 0.000234 0.000416 0.000756
2025-02-02 0.000021 0.000039 0.000071 0.000132 0.000245 0.000445 0.000831
2025-02-09 0.000019 0.000037 0.000069 0.000131 0.000249 0.000464 0.000888
2025-02-16 0.000018 0.000036 0.000068 0.000132 0.000256 0.000488 0.000957
2025-02-23 0.000017 0.000034 0.000065 0.000130 0.000259 0.000505 0.001013
2025-03-02 0.000016 0.000032 0.000064 0.000129 0.000263 0.000523 0.001074
2025-03-09 0.000015 0.000031 0.000062 0.000129 0.000268 0.000545 0.001144
2025-03-16 0.000014 0.000029 0.000061 0.000129 0.000274 0.000569 0.001220
2025-03-23 0.000013 0.000028 0.000060 0.000129 0.000280 0.000594 0.001299
2025-03-30 0.000012 0.000027 0.000058 0.000128 0.000282 0.000610 0.001361